Global Scans · Conflict · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Rising tensions around are bringing new and regional geopolitical threats and the possibility of eventual global war. Keep abreast of the unfolding drama and know where the risks and opportunities are in the world.

• [New] A prolonged conflict could reduce demand in key markets in Europe and North America. The Daily Star
• [New] Given that the potential impacts of a global conflict would cut across multiple sectors - including energy, trade, finance, and migration - effective coordination among different ministries and agencies will be essential. The Daily Star
• [New] Unit 42 is tracking an increased risk of wiper attacks related to the conflict with Iran, including multiple related incidents impacting organizations in Israel and the US. Unit 42
• [New] Global oil prices jump as escalating US-Israeli conflict with Iran and shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz raise fears of supply shortages. GCC BUSINESS WATCH
• [New] The Anthropic conflict is not just one company's dispute: the Pentagon's supply chain risk designation is portrayed as a scalable tool that can blacklist vendors over policy/guardrail disputes. Pascal's Substack
• [New] US Treasuries are already sounding some caution, with two - and 10-year yields up close to 20 basis points over the past week, suggesting possible risks of inflation, overheating growth and renewed pressure on debt and deficits, given the costs of a potentially prolonged conflict. Business Insider
• [New] Amid Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine and U.S. actions in Iran, Syria, Venezuela, and Africa, many Western citizens perceive a heightened risk of global conflict. Caliber.az
• [New] Concern is particularly high in the United States, where 46% of respondents say a world war is likely or very likely by 2031. Caliber.az
• [New] Asian countries remain the world's most dependent on oil and gas supplies from the Middle East, making them particularly vulnerable to prolonged supply disruptions amid the widening conflict over Iran.
• [New] Global food supplies could be badly damaged in 2026 if the Iran war becomes an extended conflict. The Guardian
• [New] The U.S. Department of Energy has approved an immediate increase in liquefied natural gas exports from Venture Global's Plaquemines LNG terminal in Louisiana, moving to bolster global gas supplies as escalating conflict in the Middle East threatens energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. gCaptain
• [New] Brent crude settled above $100 a barrel, due to war in Iran and Trump's vow to hit Iran very hard, prompting concerns about oil supply disruptions. ST
• [New] Human Security Risk: Escalating conflict threatens the livelihoods of millions of Indians working in the Gulf region. Civilsdaily
• [New] The escalating conflict in Iran is putting Europe on high alert, with international police agency Europol warning of an elevated threat of terrorism and violent extremism on European soil as well as increased cyberattacks and disinformation campaigns. Counter Extremism Project
• [New] A protracted Middle East conflict could push Britain's economy into recession. The Guardian
• [New] The conflict in the Middle East, disruption to global shipping routes and rising oil prices are beginning to have knock-on effects on supply chains and energy markets around the world. The Guardian
• [New] Oil prices surged dramatically amid escalating tensions from the ongoing US-Iran conflict, which disrupted shipping in the Middle East and threatened global supply chains. IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
• [New] Beyond domestic dynamics, geopolitical risks have become increasingly salient, and the potential consequences of the US conflict with Iran are significant enough to warrant close attention. Rothschild & Co
• [New] Even in a world already conditioned by conflict, the current war in the Middle East introduces a different magnitude of disruption and one that accelerates uncertainty faster than existing operating models can absorb. Forrester
• [New] With a war that stretches months and causes lasting damage to Persian Gulf energy infrastructure, there could be a global recession coupled with higher interest rates. Canadian Energy News, Top Headlines, Commentaries, Feat
• [New] Military Strength paints a sobering picture: after years of underinvestment and overuse, the U.S. military risks being unable to deter - or defeat-near-peer adversaries in a protracted conflict. The Heritage Foundation
• [New] Efforts to weaken Iran's military capabilities could quickly spiral into a prolonged regional conflict involving Gulf states, armed groups such as Hezbollah and potentially disruptions to the global energy system. Modern Diplomacy

Last updated: 17 March 2026